COVID-19 Resources

Due to the continuous developments regarding the virus, TAG is offering COVID-19 Retainer Packages to businesses concerned with the impact of this outbreak.

Request a quote below or call us: 1-800-401-2239

For the food industry

  • Regular Updates

  • Advice for Food Industry

  • What can you (we) all do?

 
Key Points

October 28, 2020

 
Recommendations for Industry

U.S. On a Negative Trajectory

The Acheson Group’s U.S. Risk Matrix has calculated an Outbreak Index using a series of variables that include Test Positive Rates, Effective Rates of Transmissions, and Social Distancing Values. Through this, the Risk Matrix identifies states in various quadrants from Lower Risk to Highest-Risk.

 

This week’s Risk Matrix does not look good for most states in the U.S.. Almost uniformly, every state in the U.S. is in a worse place than we were a week or two ago. The trajectories are bad. TAG is regularly being asked, “What more can we be doing?” We do need to keep up all the protections – and make sure your people are wearing masks, social distancing, washing hands and sanitizing – on and off-duty.  Where rates of illness are high in the surrounding community, testing asymptomatic employees can help verify your prevention programs and identify clusters of illness before a large outbreak occurs. 

 

As of October 27, 2020, 30 states are in the Highest-Risk Quadrant (Outbreak Index > 50). This is up from last week’s 23 states. States in the Highest-Risk Quadrant are Alaska, Alabama, Arkansas, Arizona, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, North Dakota, Nebraska, New Mexico, Nevada, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Wisconsin, and Wyoming.

 

The average U.S. Mobility Index increased from 5.9% (last week) to 6% (this week), indicating a slight decrease in mobility throughout the U.S

 

As shown in Table 1, TAG has calculated that Thirteen (13) states have a TPR greater than 10% indicating the current level of testing may not be fully characterizing the severity of the outbreaks in these states. These states are:

  • South Dakota: 40%

  • Idaho: 36%

  • Wyoming: 31%

  • Wisconsin: 28%

  • Iowa: 26%

  • Alabama: 25%

  • Nebraska: 22%

  • Kansas: 21%

  • Nevada and Utah: 19%

  • Montana: 15%

  • North Dakota and Pennsylvania: 11%

Table 1. 

Table 2 2020.10.27.png

We also have displayed a table the past 4 weeks of case rates/100,000 persons per state, showing how outbreaks may be expanding and/or contracting in different states (Table 2). Case rate information is useful for identifying trends over a 2- to 4-week period. This information allows for relative risk comparisons to be made among regions and plants. This analysis calculates a 7-day rolling average of the number of cases per 100,000 people in the regions. A case rate >25 would indicate that an outbreak is uncontrolled and strict measures be undertaken to ensure safety of site and/or people (as highlighted in red with red text on the graph).

 

TABLE 2 - U.S. Case Rates / 100K Population 

 
Outbreak Updates

As of October 28, 2020 (11:07 ET), there are over > 44,093,000 cases (>1,168,000 deaths) worldwide.

Due to the increasing number of cases in the United States, TAG will move from reporting counts per country to focus on the United States, please see here for the data. For further information regarding worldwide numbers, please refer to John Hopkin University’s aggregate map.

Keep up to date with COVID-19:

Please send us any questions, comments, and/or concerns! We are happy to talk with you. 

 

OR call us at 1-800-401-2239

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